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    Geek Vibes Nation
    Home » 2026 Critics Choice Awards Winner Predictions
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    2026 Critics Choice Awards Winner Predictions

    • By RobertoTOrtiz
    • December 30, 2025
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    A large group of people in historical clothing stand closely together, watching intently from behind a wooden barrier in what appears to be a period setting.

    The Critics Choice Awards arrive this year as the first major televised Oscar precursor of the season. The ceremony rolls around on January 4th, with Chelsea Handler back for her fourth consecutive hosting gig and the show airing on E! and USA Network. The narratives are mostly set, but nothing is fully locked. A win here can turn momentum into inevitability, especially in the acting races.

    This year feels particularly consequential. Several films arrive with massive nomination counts, others are clearly positioning themselves for a sweep, and a few categories remain wide open in a way that makes predictions both exciting and nerve-racking. The Critics Choice Association has never been shy about embracing frontrunners early, and 2026 looks like a year where they may once again lean into films that already feel inevitable while still allowing room for a surprise or two.

    At the center of the night is Paul Thomas Anderson’s One Battle After Another, which appears poised to have a very good evening. With Paul Thomas Anderson already feeling overdue for a win, it’s hard not to imagine Critics Choice wanting to be the first ones to fully embrace it and help strengthen his narrative. A strong showing here could mark the beginning of a real sweep as we head deeper into awards season.

    Then there’s Sinners, which leads the ceremony with an impressive 17 nominations. That kind of support doesn’t usually translate into just one or two wins. Even if it doesn’t dominate the top prizes, it’s hard to imagine it walking away empty-handed. Expect it to make its presence felt in screenplay and craft categories at the very least.

    Some races, however, are far less settled. Supporting Actress is wide open, with no clear consensus emerging yet. Amy Madigan and Ariana Grande both feel very possible, depending on how voters respond emotionally versus culturally. And in Best Actor, Timothée Chalamet is the expected winner, but Leonardo DiCaprio remains the one name who could disrupt that narrative. However with Marty Supreme just coming out with impressive box office numbers and endless praise for Chalamet, it really does feel like his category to lose. If Chalamet takes Critics Choice, the sweep conversation becomes very real, very fast.

    A man wearing glasses smiles in a crowd, holding a circular sign with the United States flag; others around him display flags in the background.
    Timothée Chalamet -Credit: Courtesy of A24

    With all that in mind, here’s how I see the night playing out.

    (Predicted winners are highlighted in bold along with “**”)

    Best Picture

    Frankenstein

    Bugonia

    Hamnet

    Jay Kelly

    Marty Supreme

    One Battle After Another**

    Sentimental Value

    Sinners

    Train Dreams

    Wicked: For Good

    Best Actor

    Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme**

    Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another

    Joel Edgerton – Train Dreams

    Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon

    Michael B. Jordan – Sinners

    Wagner Moura – The Secret Agent 

    Best Actress

    Jessie Buckley – Hamnet**

    Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

    Chase Infiniti – One Battle After Another

    Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value

    Amanda Seyfried – The Testament of Ann Lee

    Emma Stone – Bugonia 

    A man holding a flashlight and a cup stands next to a woman in a graphic t-shirt; both look ahead with concerned expressions in a dimly lit room.
    A$AP Rocky and Rose Byrne in Mary Bronstein’s ‘If I Had Legs I’d Kick You’ | Courtesy of A24

    Best Supporting Actor

    Benicio del Toro – One Battle After Another**

    Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein

    Paul Mescal – Hamnet

    Sean Penn – One Battle After Another

    Adam Sandler – Jay Kelly

    Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value 

    Best Supporting Actress

    Elle Fanning – Sentimental Value

    Ariana Grande – Wicked: For Good

    Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value

    Amy Madigan – Weapons**

    Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners

    Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another 

    Best Young Actor/Actress

    Everett Blunck – The Plague

    Miles Caton – Sinners

    Cary Christopher – Weapons

    Shannon Mahina Gorman – Rental Family

    Jacobi Jupe – Hamnet**

    Nina Ye – Left-Handed Girl 

    Best Casting and Ensemble

    Hamnet

    Jay Kelly

    Marty Supreme

    One Battle After Another

    Sinners**

    Wicked: For Good 

    Best Director

    Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another**

    Ryan Coogler – Sinners

    Guillermo del Toro – Frankenstein

    Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme

    Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value

    Chloé Zhao – Hamnet

    Two men in vintage suits and hats stand beside a classic car in front of a rustic building, looking into the distance on a sunny day.

    Best Original Screenplay

    Noah Baumbach and Emily Mortimer – Jay Kelly

    Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme

    Ryan Coogler – Sinners**

    Zach Cregger – Weapons

    Eva Victor – Sorry, Baby

    Eskil Vogt and Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value

    Best Adapted Screenplay

    Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another**

    Clint Bentley and Greg Kwedar – Train Dreams

    Park Chan-wook, Lee Kyoung-mi, Don McKellar, and Jahye Lee – No Other Choice

    Guillermo del Toro – Frankenstein

    Will Tracy – Bugonia

    Chloé Zhao and Maggie O’Farrell – Hamnet

    Best Cinematography

    F1 – Claudio Miranda

    Frankenstein – Dan Laustsen

    Hamnet – Łukasz Żal

    One Battle After Another – Michael Bauman

    Sinners – Autumn Durald Arkapaw**

    Train Dreams – Adolpho Veloso

    Best Production Design

    The Fantastic Four: First Steps

    Frankenstein**

    Hamnet

    Marty Supreme

    Sinners

    Wicked: For Good 

    Best Editing

    F1

    A House of Dynamite

    Marty Supreme

    One Battle After Another**

    The Perfect Neighbor

    Sinners 

    A woman in a suit stands in a control center, talking on the phone, surrounded by desks with computers, monitors, and telephones displaying data and maps.
    Rebecca Ferguson as Captain Olivia Walker in A House of Dynamite. Cr. Eros Hoagland/Netflix © 2025.

    Best Sound

    F1

    Frankenstein

    One Battle After Another

    Sinners**

    Sirāt

    Warfare

    Best Costume Design

    Frankenstein**

    Hamnet

    Hedda

    Kiss of the Spider Woman

    Sinners

    Wicked: For Good 

    Best Hair and Makeup

    28 Years Later

    Frankenstein**

    Sinners

    The Smashing Machine

    Weapons

    Wicked: For Good 

    Best Visual Effects

    Avatar: Fire and Ash**

    F1

    Frankenstein

    Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning

    Sinners

    Superman 

    Three people sit closely together in a tense moment, with one man facing a woman who has her arms on his shoulders, while another man looks on from the side.
    Tom Cruise plays Ethan Hunt, Hayley Atwell plays Grace and Simon Pegg plays Benji Dunn in Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning from Paramount Pictures and Skydance. | © 2025 Paramount Pictures. All Rights Reserved.

    Best Stunt Design

    Ballerina

    F1

    Mission: Impossible – The Final Reckoning**

    One Battle After Another

    Sinners

    Warfare 

    Best Animated Feature

    Arco

    Elio

    In Your Dreams

    KPop Demon Hunters**

    Little Amélie or the Character of Rain

    Zootopia 2

    Best Foreign Language Film

    Belén • Argentina

    It Was Just an Accident** • France

    Left-Handed Girl • Taiwan

    No Other Choice • South Korea

    The Secret Agent • Brazil

    Sirāt • Spain

    Best Song

    “Clothed by the Sun” – The Testament of Ann Lee

    “Drive” – F1

    “The Girl in the Bubble” – Wicked: For Good

    “Golden” – KPop Demon Hunters

    “I Lied to You” – Sinners

    “Train Dreams” – Train Dreams

    Best Score

    F1

    Frankenstein

    Hamnet

    Marty Supreme

    One Battle After Another

    Sinners**

     

    The 31st annual Critics Choice Awards will be presented live on E! and USA on Sunday, January 4, 2026.

    RobertoTOrtiz
    RobertoTOrtiz

    Roberto Tyler Ortiz is a movie and TV enthusiast with a love for literally any film. He is a writer for LoudAndClearReviews, and when he isn’t writing for them, he’s sharing his personal reviews and thoughts on Twitter, Instagram, and Letterboxd. As a member of the Austin Film Critics Association, Roberto is always ready to chat about the latest releases, dive deep into film discussions, or discover something new.

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