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    Geek Vibes Nation
    Home » 2026 BAFTA Awards Winner Predictions
    • Movie News

    2026 BAFTA Awards Winner Predictions

    • By RobertoTOrtiz
    • February 20, 2026
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    A bald person wearing a red coat sits on a bed in a dimly lit, cluttered room, looking upward with a serious expression.

    There’s always something a little different about BAFTA night. It doesn’t feel like a dress rehearsal for the Oscars. It feels like its own thing. The voting body has different instincts, and every year there’s at least one moment where you realize the British Academy simply saw the race in a way nobody else did. That’s part of the fun.

    This year’s ceremony lands on February 22, hosted by Alan Cumming, airing live on BBC One and streaming on iPlayer in the UK, with E! carrying it stateside as a pre-recorded special. And walking into the night, the headline is clear: One Battle After Another leads the field with 14 nominations. That kind of showing usually signals a strong night ahead, and it’s hard to imagine it leaving empty-handed.

    The real question is how strong that night will be.

    There’s a sense that One Battle After Another is lining up for a proper BAFTA moment. It’s performed consistently across the season, it has broad industry respect, and it feels like the kind of film BAFTA voters can rally behind without hesitation. Even in categories where the race looks competitive on paper, you can feel the gravitational pull toward it. If it overperforms here, it won’t surprise anyone.

    That said, it’s not the only player. Marty Supreme, Sinners, and Sentimental Value all showed up big on nomination morning. Each has a path to multiple wins. Marty Supreme feels actor-driven. Sinners could dominate in screenplay and techs if the passion is there. Sentimental Value clearly resonated with BAFTA voters.

    A large group of people in historical clothing stand closely together, watching intently from behind a wooden barrier in what appears to be a period setting.
    Jessie Buckley stars as Agnes and Joe Alwyn as Bartholomew in director Chloé Zhao’s
    HAMNET, a Focus Features release.
    Credit: Agata Grzybowska / © 2025 FOCUS FEATURES LLC

    Then there’s Hamnet. It underperformed on nominations day, missing key crafts like cinematography and editing, which raised eyebrows. Still, that doesn’t erase its strength in major categories. Films sometimes stumble in the tech races and still take something substantial home. I wouldn’t write it off. Though I wouldn’t bet on it having a great night, the safest bet to make is Jessie Buckley taking that best actress prize.

    Let’s talk about Supporting Actress, because this is where the discourse has gotten strange. There’s a narrative forming around Wunmi Mosaku as a potential spoiler because she’s been recognized by BAFTA before. That history matters, sure, but this season she hasn’t looked like a frontrunner or even close to that. She even missed at the Globes. Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas has also become a popular prediction in some corners, largely on the idea that she’s a big emotional standout of Sentimental Value. That may be true, but admiration doesn’t automatically turn into trophies. Fact of the matter is, she hasn’t been winning many prizes, so why would she win now? 

    The simplest answer might actually be the correct one: Teyana Taylor. She won the Globe. She’s hit every major precursor. She’s shown strength all season long. Sometimes we overthink these things because we assume BAFTA won’t go for an American performance. That line of thinking feels outdated. If anything, Taylor’s consistency makes her the safest bet.

    Best Actor feels steadier. Timothée Chalamet has had the kind of season where momentum builds and never really dips. He’s visible, he’s respected, and Marty Supreme has clearly connected. If there’s an upset brewing, it’s Leonardo DiCaprio riding the wave of One Battle After Another. That’s the only scenario that feels plausible, even if he didn’t win the Globe. Otherwise, this is Chalamet’s to lose.

    Supporting Actor is slightly more complicated. Stellan Skarsgård enters as the favorite thanks to the love BAFTA showed Sentimental Value. His SAG miss caused some concern, though that group has its own patterns and isn’t always the best measure for international contenders. Skarsgård still feels strong here. If someone disrupts the race, it could be Sean Penn. A surprise Penn win would immediately change the Oscar conversation.

    Best Director feels locked. Paul Thomas Anderson has swept through critics, claimed the Globe, took Critics Choice, and secured DGA. This feels like the final stop before Oscar night. BAFTA has occasionally zigged in this category, but there’s no real sign of that happening here.

    As for Sinners, it comes in with real potential. Original Screenplay feels like its clearest path. If it starts picking up technical wins beyond that, then we’re talking about something bigger. That’s the category to watch. A strong showing below the line could signal broader industry passion.

    So when I stop circling possibilities and just commit, here’s where I land.

    A man in a plaid robe stands on a deserted road holding a rifle and a handgun, with a car parked behind him and desert landscape in the background.

    BEST FILM

    Hamnet

    Marty Supreme

    One Battle After Another**

    Sentimental Value

    Sinners

    OUTSTANDING BRITISH FILM

    28 Years Later

    The Ballad of Wallis Island

    Bridget Jones: Mad About the Boy

    Die My Love

    H Is for Hawk

    Hamnet**

    I Swear

    Mr. Burton

    Pillion

    Steve

    OUTSTANDING DEBUT BY A BRITISH WRITER, DIRECTOR OR PRODUCER

    The Ceremony

    My Father’s Shadow**

    Pillion

    A Want in Her

    Wasteman

    CHILDREN’S & FAMILY FILM

    Arco

    Boong

    Lilo & Stitch

    Zootopia 2**

    Two young women stand close together indoors, smiling as one of them holds up a smartphone to take a selfie.
    Courtesy of NEON

    FILM NOT IN ENGLISH LANGUAGE

    It Was Just an Accident 

    The Secret Agent

    Sentimental Value**

    Sirāt

    The Voice of Hind Rajab

    DOCUMENTARY

    2000 Meters to Andriivka

    Apocalypse in the Tropics

    Cover-Up

    Mr. Nobody Against Putin

    The Perfect Neighbor**

    ANIMATED FILM

    Elio

    Little Amélie or the Character of Rain**

    Zootopia 2

    DIRECTOR

    Yorgos Lanthimos – Bugonia

    Chloé Zhao – Hamnet 

    Josh Safdie – Marty Supreme 

    Paul Thomas Anderson – One Battle After Another**

    Joachim Trier – Sentimental Value 

    Ryan Coogler – Sinners

    ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

    I Swear

    Marty Supreme

    The Secret Agent

    Sentimental Value

    Sinners**

    Two men in vintage suits and hats stand beside a classic car in front of a rustic building, looking into the distance on a sunny day.

    ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

    The Ballad of Wallis Island

    Bugonia

    Hamnet

    One Battle After Another**

    Pillion

    LEADING ACTRESS

    Jessie Buckley – Hamnet**

    Rose Byrne – If I Had Legs I’d Kick You

    Kate Hudson – Song Sung Blue

    Chase Infiniti – One Battle After Another

    Renate Reinsve – Sentimental Value

    Emma Stone – Bugonia

    LEADING ACTOR

    Robert Aramayo – I Swear

    Timothée Chalamet – Marty Supreme**

    Leonardo DiCaprio – One Battle After Another

    Ethan Hawke – Blue Moon

    Michael B. Jordan – Sinners

    Jesse Plemons – Bugonia

    SUPPORTING ACTRESS

    Odessa A’zion – Marty Supreme

    Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas – Sentimental Value

    Wunmi Mosaku – Sinners

    Carey Mulligan – The Ballad of Wallis Island

    Teyana Taylor – One Battle After Another**

    Emily Watson – Hamnet

    SUPPORTING ACTOR

    Benicio Del Toro – One Battle After Another

    Jacob Elordi – Frankenstein

    Paul Mescal – Hamnet

    Peter Mullan – I Swear

    Sean Penn – One Battle After Another

    Stellan Skarsgård – Sentimental Value**

    CASTING

    I Swear

    Marty Supreme**

    One Battle After Another

    Sentimental Value

    Sinners

    A woman in a yellow dress lies beside a bearded man outdoors at dusk, gazing at him with trees silhouetted in the background.
    Joel Edgerton and Felicity Jones appear in Train Dreams by Clint Bentley, an official selection of the 2025 Sundance Film Festival. Courtesy of Sundance Institute | photo by Adolpho Veloso.

    CINEMATOGRAPHY

    Frankenstein

    Marty Supreme

    One Battle After Another**

    Sinners

    Train Dreams

    COSTUME DESIGN

    Frankenstein**

    Hamnet

    Marty Supreme

    Sinners

    Wicked: For Good

    EDITING

    F1

    A House of Dynamite

    Marty Supreme

    One Battle After Another**

    Sinners

    MAKE UP & HAIR

    Frankenstein**

    Hamnet

    Marty Supreme

    Sinners

    Wicked: For Good

    A person wearing a dark hooded cloak, a mask covering the lower half of their face, and a fur garment stands in dim lighting.
    FRANKENSTEIN. Jacob Elordi as The Creature in Frankenstein. Cr. Ken Woroner/Netflix © 2025.

    ORIGINAL SCORE

    Bugonia

    Frankenstein

    Hamnet

    One Battle After Another

    Sinners**

    PRODUCTION DESIGN

    Frankenstein**

    Hamnet

    Marty Supreme

    One Battle After Another

    Sinners

    SPECIAL VISUAL EFFECTS

    Avatar: Fire and Ash**

    F1

    Frankenstein

    How to Train Your Dragon

    The Lost Bus

    SOUND

    F1**

    Frankenstein

    One Battle After Another

    Sinners

    Warfare

    BRITISH SHORT ANIMATION

    Cardboard

    Solstice

    Two Black Boys in Paradise**

    BRITISH SHORT FILM

    Magid / Zafar

    Nostalgie**

    Terence

    This Is Endometriosis

    Welcome Home Freckles

    RobertoTOrtiz
    RobertoTOrtiz

    Roberto Tyler Ortiz is a movie and TV enthusiast with a love for literally any film. He is a writer for LoudAndClearReviews, and when he isn’t writing for them, he’s sharing his personal reviews and thoughts on Twitter, Instagram, and Letterboxd. As a member of the Austin Film Critics Association, Roberto is always ready to chat about the latest releases, dive deep into film discussions, or discover something new.

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