OPINION: My Final 2020 Oscar Predictions

Oscars night is right around the corner, my friends. So let’s talk about my final predictions!

The 92nd Academy Awards is this Sunday and for someone like me, this is very much like the Super Bowl event of my entire year so it is a VERY BIG DEAL. Not only that, but 2019 was regarded as one of the best years for films that we’ve had in a while. I watched nearly 130 feature films that were released in 2019, so I feel confident enough to attest to that bold statement. In fact, 8 out of the 9 films that are Oscar-nominated for Best Picture this year made it to my top 20 favorite films of 2019 which is saying A LOT. It has been a great year filled with some of the best movies I have ever seen and it has all come down to this moment.

 

Because of that, as you can imagine, to say that the competition for this year’s Oscars is stacked would be the understatement of the century. While some of the categories were easy to work with based on the trends that have been going on all awards season long, I had a very hard time predicting for several of the main categories including Best Picture. This year is shaping to be very predictable in terms of the acting categories but as for everything else, it has the potential to either go exactly as planned OR pull off huge upsets (which can be both good or bad!). Nonetheless, the anticipation is still very exciting and usually, it is the unexpected winners that make the Oscars night much more memorable and worth talking about (again, which can be both good or bad!).

 

When it comes to predicting, it helps if you look at the nominees/winners of the other award shows such as the Golden Globes, the Critics’ Choice, the Guild Awards for Directors/Producers/Screen Actors/Writers, etc., and so on. Based on what films won in their respective category, this will give you a better idea of who may be taking the same award at the Oscars. This is the strategy I took when making my predictions and I gotta say – this year’s Oscars is going to be a VERY interesting one!

 

(For the purpose of this article, I won’t go too much into depth about these other awards but if this is something that interests you, I highly recommend checking out the Awards Watch website which breaks down every Academy Award and their nominees with the likelihood of their chances of winning based on the other film awards shows.)

 

 

In preparation, I was able to watch every nominee (including short films) except for the following feature films – Corpus Christi, Breakthrough, and Maleficent: Mistress of Evil. What I am hoping for is that Parasite, being one of the frontrunners of the season, will win big and maybe even make history since no international film has ever won Best Picture. That said, I will also be content if 1917 sweeps the majority of the awards (especially the technical ones) since it was also one of my favorite films of 2019. Some of my other wish list items would be for Greta Gerwig to win Best Adapted Screenplay for her work in Little Women since she was snubbed in the Best Director category (sigh don’t even get me started…) and lastly, I know the chances of this happening are like 0.0001% but I would genuinely FREAK OUT if Adam Driver pulls a major upset over Joaquin Phoenix in the Best Actor category. 

And now, here are my final predictions for the 92nd Academy Awards:

 

Best Picture

Ford v Ferrari

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker

Little Women

Marriage Story

1917

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Parasite

 

Who should win: Parasite

Who will win: 1917

Spoiler: Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood or Jojo Rabbit

 

Best Director

Martin Scorsese, The Irishman

Todd Phillips, Joker

Sam Mendes, 1917

Quentin Tarantino, Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Bong Joon Ho, Parasite

 

Who should win: Bong Joon Ho, Parasite

Who will win: Sam Mendes, 1917

 

Best Actor

Antonio Banderas, Pain and Glory

Leonardo DiCaprio, Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Adam Driver, Marriage Story

Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

Jonathan Pryce, The Two Popes

 

Who should win: Adam Driver, Marriage Story

Who will win: Joaquin Phoenix, Joker

 

Best Actress

Cynthia Erivo, Harriet

Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

Saoirse Ronan, Little Women

Charlize Theron, Bombshell

Renée Zellweger, Judy

 

Who should win: Scarlett Johansson, Marriage Story

Who will win: Renée Zellweger, Judy

 

Best Supporting Actor

Tom Hanks, A Beautiful Day In The Neighborhood

Anthony Hopkins, The Two Popes

Al Pacino, The Irishman

Joe Pesci, The Irishman

Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

 

Who should win: Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Who will win: Brad Pitt, Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

 

Best Supporting Actress

Kathy Bates, Richard Jewell

Laura Dern, Marriage Story

Scarlett Johansson, Jojo Rabbit

Florence Pugh, Little Women

Margot Robbie, Bombshell

 

Who should win: Laura Dern, Marriage Story

Who will win: Laura Dern, Marriage Story

 

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker

Little Women

The Two Popes

 

Who should win: Little Women

Who will win: Jojo Rabbit

 

Best Original Screenplay

Knives Out

Marriage Story

1917

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Parasite

 

Who should win: Parasite or Marriage Story

Who will win: Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

 

Best Production Design

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

1917

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Parasite

 

Who should win: 1917

Who will win: Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Spoiler: Parasite

 

Best Cinematography

The Irishman

Joker

The Lighthouse

1917

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

 

Who should win: 1917

Who will win: 1917

 

Best Film Editing

Ford v Ferrari

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker

Parasite

 

Who should win: Parasite

Who will win: Ford v Ferrari

Spoiler: The Irishman

 

Best Costume Design

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker

Little Women

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

 

Who should win: Little Women

Who will win: Little Women

Spoiler: Jojo Rabbit or Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

 

Best Visual Effects

Avengers: Endgame

The Irishman

The Lion King

1917

Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker

 

Who should win: 1917

Who will win: 1917

Spoiler: The Irishman or Avengers: Endgame

 

Best Makeup + Hairstyling

Bombshell

Joker

Judy

Maleficent: Mistress Of Evil

1917

 

Who should win: Bombshell

Who will win: Bombshell

Spoiler: Judy

 

Best Sound Mixing

Ad Astra

Ford v Ferrari

Joker

1917

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

 

Who should win: 1917

Who will win: 1917

Spoiler: Ford v Ferrari

 

Best Sound Editing

Ford v Ferrari

Joker

1917

Once Upon A Time… In Hollywood

Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker

 

Who should win: 1917

Who will win: 1917

Spoiler: Ford v Ferrari

 

Best Original Score

Joker

Little Women

Marriage Story

1917

Star Wars: The Rise Of Skywalker

 

Who should win: Joker

Who will win: Joker

Spoiler: 1917

 

Best Original Song

“I Can’t Let You Throw Yourself Away”,  Toy Story 4

“(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again”, Rocketman

“I’m Standing With You”, Breakthrough 

“Into The Unknown”, Frozen II

“Stand Up”, Harriet

 

Who should win:  “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again”, Rocketman

Who will win: “(I’m Gonna) Love Me Again”, Rocketman

Spoiler: “Stand Up”, Harriet

 

Best International Film

Corpus Christi

Honeyland

Les Misérables

Pain And Glory

Parasite

 

Who should win: Parasite

Who will win: Parasite

 

Best Animated Feature Film

How To Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World

I Lost My Body

Klaus

Missing Link

Toy Story 4

 

Who should win: Klaus

Who will win: Klaus

Spoiler: Toy Story 4

 

Best Documentary (Feature)

American Factory

The Cave

The Edge of Democracy

For Sama

Honeyland

 

Who should win: For Sama

Who will win: American Factory

 

Best Documentary (Short)

In The Absence

Learning To Skateboard In A Warzone (If You’re A Girl)

Life Overtakes Me

St. Louis Superman

Walk Run Cha-Cha

 

Who should win: Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re A Girl)

Who will win: Learning to Skateboard in a Warzone (If You’re A Girl)

 

Best Animated Short Film

Dcera (Daughter)

Hair Love

Kitbull

Memorable

Sister

 

Who should win: Hair Love or Kitbull

Who will win: Hair Love

 

Best Live Action Short Film

Brotherhood

Nefta Football Club

The Neighbors’ Window

Saria

A Sister

 

Who should win: The Neighbors’ Window

Who will win: The Neighbors’ Window

Spoiler: Brotherhood

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